| |
Question
of the Month -
May 2005
| Q: |
What are the latest SLC state projections for the
federal Medicaid matching rates (Federal Medical Assistance Percentage or
FMAP)? |
| A: |
The federal Bureau of Economic Analysis
(BEA) recently recently released personal income data that permits
projections of the FMAP through FY 2007. Based on these numbers, nine states
would receive increased FMAPs in FY 2007 but 30 would see decreases.
Consequently, the Fys 2005-2007 FMAP declines are projected to cost state
governments $1.1 billion in federal Medicaid and SCHIP grants in FY 2007.
The follow table illustrates this.
|
|
SLC State |
Year and FMAP Percentage |
Percentage Point Change |
Total Potential Impacts ($millions) |
Total
($millions) |
|
2005 |
2006 |
2007 |
2005-2006 |
2006-2007 |
2002-2007 |
2006 |
2007 |
|
Alabama |
70.83 |
69.51 |
68.31 |
-1.32 |
-1.20 |
-2.14 |
-$53,136 |
-$52,176 |
-$105,312 |
|
Arkansas |
74.75 |
73.77 |
73.13 |
-0.98 |
-0.64 |
0.49 |
-$34,135 |
-$24,075 |
-$58,210 |
|
Florida |
58.90 |
58.89 |
58.80 |
-0.01 |
-0.09 |
2.37 |
-$1,507 |
-$14,476 |
-$15,983 |
|
Georgia |
60.44 |
60.60 |
61.79 |
0.16 |
1.19 |
2.79 |
$12,252 |
$98,456 |
$110,708 |
|
Kentucky |
69.60 |
69.26 |
68.18 |
-0.34 |
-1.08 |
-1.76 |
-$15,849 |
-$54,359 |
-$70,208 |
|
Louisiana |
71.04 |
69.79 |
68.66 |
-1.25 |
-1.13 |
-1.64 |
-$68,581 |
-$66,947 |
-$135,527 |
|
Maryland |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
Mississippi |
77.08 |
76.00 |
75.24 |
-1.08 |
-0.76 |
-0.85 |
-$42,977 |
-$32,654 |
-$75,631 |
|
Missouri |
61.15 |
61.93 |
60.87 |
0.78 |
-1.06 |
-0.19 |
$59,292 |
-$87,033 |
-$27,740 |
|
North Carolina |
63.63 |
63.49 |
64.17 |
-0.14 |
0.68 |
2.71 |
-$14,093 |
$73,909 |
$59,816 |
|
Oklahoma |
70.18 |
67.91 |
67.62 |
-2.27 |
-0.29 |
-2.81 |
-$75,112 |
-$10,369 |
-$85,481 |
|
South Carolina |
69.89 |
69.32 |
69.18 |
-0.57 |
-0.14 |
-0.16 |
-$23,946 |
-$6,344 |
-$30,290 |
|
Tennessee |
64.81 |
63.99 |
63.01 |
-0.82 |
-0.98 |
-0.63 |
-$65,959 |
-$85,135 |
-$151,094 |
|
Texas |
60.87 |
60.66 |
61.55 |
-0.21 |
0.89 |
1.38 |
-$40,980 |
$187,542 |
$146,562 |
|
Virginia |
50.00 |
50.00 |
50.00 |
0.00 |
0.00 |
-1.45 |
$0 |
$0 |
$0 |
|
West Virginia |
74.65 |
72.99 |
72.63 |
-1.66 |
-0.36 |
-2.64 |
-$36,722 |
-$8,599 |
-$45,321 |
|
|
|
|
|
Total (U.S.) |
-$550,895 |
-$504,709 |
-$1,055,603 |
Source: Federal Funds Information for States
Notes:
(1) The FMAP percentage for 2007 is the projected.
(2) The total potential impact for 2007 assumes each state's Medicaid program
will cost 8% more than the FY 2006 projected level.
(3) The potential impact is reflected in dollar thousands.
|